Minority Report

Lancaster, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Schuyler County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 32°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°0%
German model (ICON)48°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°30°10%
The average46°32°2%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°22°0%
US model (GFS)40°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°30°0%
German model (ICON)42°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°22°0%
The average41°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°25°0%
US model (GFS)46°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°26°0%
German model (ICON)46°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°16°0%
The average45°24°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°28°0%
German model (ICON)51°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°17°0%
The average49°26°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.