Lancaster, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fairfield County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 51° Low 41° Rain 89%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 83% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 42° | 65% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 42° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 42° | 95% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 40° | 100% |
| The average | 51° | 41° | 89% |
High 44° Low 34° Rain 74%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 79 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 29° | 21% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 35° | 72% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 36° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 36° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 34° | 95% |
| The average | 44° | 34° | 74% |
High 43° Low 30° Rain 8%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 32° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 31° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 30° | 11% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 30° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 29° | 22% |
| The average | 43° | 30° | 8% |
High 45° Low 34° Rain 1%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 31° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 38° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 36° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 29° | 0% |
| The average | 45° | 34° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.