Lancaster, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lancaster County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 58° Low 45° Rain 86%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 40° | 65% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 47° | 85% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 59° | 45° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 58° | 48° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 45° | 80% |
| The average | 58° | 45° | 86% |
High 46° Low 36° Rain 81%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 33° | 72% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 35° | 55% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 37° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 38° | 85% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 37° | 95% |
| The average | 46° | 36° | 81% |
High 46° Low 34° Rain 17%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 34° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 33° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 35° | 16% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 34° | 33% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 36° | 32% |
| The average | 46° | 34° | 17% |
High 48° Low 34° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 37° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 37° | 1% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 34° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.