Lancaster, SC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lancaster County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 71° Low 46° Rain 22%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 55 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 39° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 71° | 48° | 17% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 71° | 51° | 55% |
| German model (ICON) | 70° | 44° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 72° | 49° | 10% |
| The average | 71° | 46° | 22% |
High 57° Low 39° Rain 3%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 59° | 34° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 40° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 43° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 37° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 42° | 0% |
| The average | 57° | 39° | 3% |
High 53° Low 34° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 33° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 38° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 35° | 0% |
| The average | 53° | 34° | 0% |
High 55° Low 31° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 57° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 34° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 26° | 0% |
| The average | 55° | 31° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.