Lancaster, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lancaster County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 69° Low 47° Rain 15%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 40° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 67° | 49° | 18% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 70° | 49° | 18% |
| German model (ICON) | 70° | 50° | 25% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 70° | 48° | 10% |
| The average | 69° | 47° | 15% |
High 52° Low 37° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 34° | 12% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 36° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 42° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 34° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 40° | 11% |
| The average | 52° | 37° | 6% |
High 51° Low 34° Rain 5%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 53° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 33° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 37° | 1% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 31° | 5% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 34° | 14% |
| The average | 51° | 34° | 5% |
High 54° Low 36° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 36° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 40° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 39° | 0% |
| The average | 54° | 36° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.