Minority Report

L'Anse, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Baraga County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 38°   Low 33°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 83 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 64%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°56%
US model (GFS)36°33°17%
European model (ECMWF)38°34°100%
German model (ICON)39°33°73%
Canadian model (GEM)40°36°72%
The average38°33°64%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 33°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 88% against a group average of 40%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service36°33°39%
US model (GFS)36°32°16%
European model (ECMWF)37°33°88%
German model (ICON)38°33°30%
Canadian model (GEM)39°35°29%
The average37°33°40%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°26°1%
US model (GFS)39°34°6%
European model (ECMWF)41°30°0%
German model (ICON)41°32°5%
Canadian model (GEM)40°30°2%
The average40°30°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°26°0%
US model (GFS)44°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°28°0%
German model (ICON)47°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°25°0%
The average45°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.