Minority Report

Lansing, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ingham County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 84 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 75%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°16%
US model (GFS)45°35°76%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°100%
German model (ICON)45°36°88%
Canadian model (GEM)45°36°95%
The average45°35°75%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 31°   Rain 20%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 10% against a group average of 20%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°28°10%
US model (GFS)39°31°15%
European model (ECMWF)40°33°29%
German model (ICON)41°32°18%
Canadian model (GEM)39°29°29%
The average40°31°20%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°33°1%
US model (GFS)41°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)43°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)42°29°0%
The average43°31°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°0%
US model (GFS)45°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°35°0%
German model (ICON)44°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°29°0%
The average44°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.