Lapeer, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lapeer County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 45° Low 37° Rain 66%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 60 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 30° | 40% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 38° | 51% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 39° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 39° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 37° | 64% |
| The average | 45° | 37° | 66% |
High 40° Low 31° Rain 68%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 27° | 64% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 32° | 31% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 34° | 87% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 31° | 70% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 31° | 90% |
| The average | 40° | 31° | 68% |
High 42° Low 31° Rain 5%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 30° | 10% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 33° | 7% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 31° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 31° | 5% |
| The average | 42° | 31° | 5% |
High 44° Low 31° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 35° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 33° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 34° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 25° | 6% |
| The average | 44° | 31° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.