Minority Report

LaPorte County, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of LaPorte County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 38 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 82%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°62%
US model (GFS)48°37°70%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°100%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°94%
The average47°36°82%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 71 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 52%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°63%
US model (GFS)40°33°26%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°95%
Canadian model (GEM)43°35°24%
The average42°33°52%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 76%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 18 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 66% against a group average of 76%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°34°66%
US model (GFS)43°32°78%
European model (ECMWF)45°33°84%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°77%
The average44°34°76%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 65 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 26%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°18%
US model (GFS)47°37°11%
European model (ECMWF)46°33°6%
Canadian model (GEM)48°32°71%
The average47°33°26%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.