Minority Report

Las Marías Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Las Marías Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 87°   Low 70°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 91 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 43%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—75°0%
US model (GFS)88°71°84%
European model (ECMWF)87°69°91%
German model (ICON)85°68°40%
Canadian model (GEM)88°70°0%
The average87°70°43%

Friday, November 13

High 85°   Low 74°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service81°75°10%
US model (GFS)87°73°3%
European model (ECMWF)86°72°8%
German model (ICON)86°76°13%
Canadian model (GEM)85°74°5%
The average85°74°8%

Saturday, November 14

High 85°   Low 74°   Rain 20%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 20%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service82°74°20%
US model (GFS)87°73°6%
European model (ECMWF)86°73°69%
German model (ICON)86°77°5%
Canadian model (GEM)85°74°0%
The average85°74°20%

Sunday, November 15

High 87°   Low 71°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 16%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service82°71°25%
US model (GFS)89°71°3%
European model (ECMWF)89°71°41%
German model (ICON)86°70°5%
Canadian model (GEM)87°70°5%
The average87°71°16%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.