Minority Report

Las Piedras Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Las Piedras Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 87°   Low 75°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 51%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—77°40%
US model (GFS)86°75°42%
European model (ECMWF)86°76°99%
German model (ICON)86°75°40%
Canadian model (GEM)89°74°33%
The average87°75°51%

Friday, November 13

High 86°   Low 76°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 85 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 54%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service87°75°30%
US model (GFS)85°75°30%
European model (ECMWF)85°76°100%
German model (ICON)87°78°15%
Canadian model (GEM)88°77°95%
The average86°76°54%

Saturday, November 14

High 86°   Low 77°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 92 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 8% against a group average of 55%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service87°75°50%
US model (GFS)85°76°26%
European model (ECMWF)83°76°100%
German model (ICON)86°79°8%
Canadian model (GEM)89°77°93%
The average86°77°55%

Sunday, November 15

High 87°   Low 74°   Rain 10%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°74°6%
US model (GFS)85°74°3%
European model (ECMWF)83°75°16%
German model (ICON)88°75°10%
Canadian model (GEM)88°74°14%
The average87°74°10%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.