Minority Report

Las Vegas, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of San Miguel County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)66°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°27°0%
German model (ICON)66°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°26°0%
The average66°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 34°   Rain 21%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 21%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°36°49%
US model (GFS)62°38°4%
European model (ECMWF)60°34°27%
German model (ICON)61°33°13%
Canadian model (GEM)63°29°14%
The average62°34°21%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 32°   Rain 47%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 47%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°29°49%
US model (GFS)53°35°51%
European model (ECMWF)51°33°69%
German model (ICON)52°35°28%
Canadian model (GEM)50°28°39%
The average52°32°47%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°28°0%
US model (GFS)52°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°31°4%
German model (ICON)57°30°3%
Canadian model (GEM)54°23°0%
The average53°29°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.