Minority Report

Las Vegas, NV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clark County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 75°   Low 51°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°56°3%
US model (GFS)75°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°56°0%
German model (ICON)74°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°41°0%
The average75°51°1%

Friday, November 13

High 73°   Low 52°   Rain 22%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 22%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°55°26%
US model (GFS)75°52°30%
European model (ECMWF)71°58°30%
German model (ICON)75°53°20%
Canadian model (GEM)70°40°5%
The average73°52°22%

Saturday, November 14

High 69°   Low 50°   Rain 12%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 12%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service71°51°1%
US model (GFS)68°53°5%
European model (ECMWF)67°54°39%
German model (ICON)70°51°13%
Canadian model (GEM)69°39°0%
The average69°50°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 67°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°52°2%
US model (GFS)66°59°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°52°0%
German model (ICON)67°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°35°0%
The average67°49°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.