Minority Report

Laurens, SC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Laurens County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 46°   Rain 12%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 39 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 12%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°0%
US model (GFS)70°49°12%
European model (ECMWF)70°51°39%
German model (ICON)70°45°5%
Canadian model (GEM)70°50°5%
The average70°46°12%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°34°0%
US model (GFS)56°40°1%
European model (ECMWF)55°42°2%
German model (ICON)57°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)57°40°0%
The average57°39°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°30°0%
US model (GFS)55°36°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°40°0%
German model (ICON)55°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°34°0%
The average54°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°33°0%
US model (GFS)56°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°0%
German model (ICON)56°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°28°0%
The average56°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.