Minority Report

Lawrenceburg, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Anderson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 41°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 76 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 57%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°18%
US model (GFS)55°42°28%
European model (ECMWF)55°43°94%
German model (ICON)56°42°53%
Canadian model (GEM)55°41°91%
The average55°41°57%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 62%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°29°55%
US model (GFS)45°33°31%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°95%
German model (ICON)46°37°73%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°57%
The average45°35°62%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°26°0%
US model (GFS)47°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
German model (ICON)46°31°5%
Canadian model (GEM)46°27°1%
The average46°29°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°26°0%
US model (GFS)50°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°38°0%
German model (ICON)52°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°20°0%
The average50°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.