Minority Report

Lawrenceburg, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lawrence County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 38°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 35 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°0%
US model (GFS)61°41°13%
European model (ECMWF)61°42°35%
German model (ICON)61°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°38°6%
The average61°38°11%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)47°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°0%
German model (ICON)49°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°0%
The average48°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°26°0%
US model (GFS)50°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)52°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°28°0%
The average50°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°29°2%
US model (GFS)52°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
German model (ICON)55°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°26°0%
The average53°31°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.