Minority Report

Lawrenceville, GA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Gwinnett County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 63°   Low 46°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 76 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 35%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)63°46°17%
European model (ECMWF)63°51°76%
German model (ICON)62°47°30%
Canadian model (GEM)64°46°52%
The average63°46°35%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°35°0%
US model (GFS)51°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°41°0%
German model (ICON)51°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°37°0%
The average51°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°31°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°0%
German model (ICON)54°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°30°0%
The average53°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°35°0%
US model (GFS)56°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°33°0%
German model (ICON)54°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°25°0%
The average55°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.