Minority Report

Le Mars, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Plymouth County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 43°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—21°0%
US model (GFS)45°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°0%
German model (ICON)41°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°24°0%
The average43°26°0%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 21°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°21°0%
US model (GFS)38°16°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°26°0%
German model (ICON)40°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°18°0%
The average41°21°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 22°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°0%
US model (GFS)45°18°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°26°0%
German model (ICON)44°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°15°0%
The average43°22°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°1%
US model (GFS)49°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°28°0%
German model (ICON)51°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°18°0%
The average47°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.