Lebanon, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Marion County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 55° Low 41° Rain 60%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 73 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 17% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 43° | 35% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 42° | 90% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 43° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 41° | 82% |
| The average | 55° | 41° | 60% |
High 45° Low 34° Rain 57%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 30° | 69% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 34° | 35% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 36° | 93% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 36° | 40% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 36° | 49% |
| The average | 45° | 34° | 57% |
High 47° Low 30° Rain 4%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 31° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 32° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 26° | 10% |
| The average | 47° | 30° | 4% |
High 50° Low 30° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 33° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 33° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 21° | 0% |
| The average | 50° | 30° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.