Lebanon, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Warren County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 52° Low 40° Rain 69%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 38° | 75% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 40° | 30% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 42° | 96% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 41° | 53% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 41° | 90% |
| The average | 52° | 40° | 69% |
High 43° Low 35° Rain 56%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 53 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 30° | 31% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 35° | 37% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 38° | 84% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 36° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 36° | 76% |
| The average | 43° | 35° | 56% |
High 45° Low 31° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 35° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 32° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 30° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 28° | 5% |
| The average | 45° | 31° | 2% |
High 48° Low 35° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 41° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 39° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 29° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 35° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.