Leesburg, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Loudoun County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 62° Low 45° Rain 44%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 81 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 41° | 7% |
| US model (GFS) | 61° | 44° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 63° | 47° | 69% |
| German model (ICON) | 62° | 48° | 88% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 63° | 48° | 32% |
| The average | 62° | 45° | 44% |
High 48° Low 37° Rain 25%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 34° | 14% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 37° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 43° | 39% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 36° | 38% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 35° | 29% |
| The average | 48° | 37° | 25% |
High 49° Low 35° Rain 7%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 37° | 5% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 33° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 38° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 34° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 34° | 14% |
| The average | 49° | 35° | 7% |
High 51° Low 39° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 35° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 42° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 38° | 0% |
| The average | 51° | 39° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.