Minority Report

Leesville, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Vernon Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—45°0%
US model (GFS)79°52°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°55°0%
German model (ICON)76°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°55°0%
The average77°52°0%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°40°0%
US model (GFS)68°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°49°0%
German model (ICON)66°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°52°0%
The average68°47°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 42°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°42°1%
US model (GFS)64°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°43°2%
German model (ICON)60°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°46°0%
The average62°42°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 59°   Low 46°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 16°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 76%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°43°78%
US model (GFS)66°46°68%
European model (ECMWF)51°45°94%
German model (ICON)50°46°70%
Canadian model (GEM)64°48°68%
The average59°46°76%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.