Leland, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Leelanau County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 45° Low 36° Rain 85%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 45 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 35° | 88% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 36° | 55% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 36° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 38° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 37° | 100% |
| The average | 45° | 36° | 85% |
High 40° Low 36° Rain 82%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 39° | 89% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 35° | 67% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 37° | 53% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 33° | 100% |
| The average | 40° | 36° | 82% |
High 43° Low 39° Rain 44%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 38° | 40% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 39° | 24% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 37° | 69% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 41° | 40% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 38° | 45% |
| The average | 43° | 39° | 44% |
High 44° Low 38° Rain 15%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 38° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 42° | 22% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 34° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 37° | 38% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 38° | 10% |
| The average | 44° | 38° | 15% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.