Leola, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McPherson County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 38° Low 23° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 18° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 24° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 37° | 26° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 37° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 18° | 0% |
| The average | 38° | 23° | 0% |
High 38° Low 21° Rain 0%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 37° | 20° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 34° | 22° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 25° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 23° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 16° | 0% |
| The average | 38° | 21° | 0% |
High 43° Low 26° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 25° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 27° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 27° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 22° | 4% |
| The average | 43° | 26° | 1% |
High 53° Low 33° Rain 1%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 34° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 35° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 33° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 31° | 5% |
| The average | 53° | 33° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.