Leonardtown, MD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of St. Mary's County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 66° Low 48° Rain 48%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 64 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 43° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 67° | 48° | 44% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 66° | 52° | 71% |
| German model (ICON) | 65° | 51° | 73% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 67° | 48° | 43% |
| The average | 66° | 48° | 48% |
High 50° Low 38° Rain 15%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 34° | 11% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 35° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 44° | 11% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 39° | 18% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 39° | 33% |
| The average | 50° | 38° | 15% |
High 50° Low 35° Rain 8%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 32° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 40° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 37° | 13% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 34° | 20% |
| The average | 50° | 35° | 8% |
High 53° Low 40° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 37° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 45° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 44° | 0% |
| The average | 53° | 40° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.