Minority Report

Leoti, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wichita County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)67°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°38°0%
German model (ICON)65°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°39°0%
The average66°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°0%
US model (GFS)54°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°37°0%
German model (ICON)51°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°32°0%
The average54°35°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 79%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°75%
US model (GFS)51°32°77%
European model (ECMWF)48°38°92%
German model (ICON)48°36°60%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°92%
The average48°35°79%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 38°   Rain 69%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 69%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°14%
US model (GFS)43°40°77%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°94%
German model (ICON)42°39°63%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°95%
The average44°38°69%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.