Minority Report

Lewisburg, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Greenbrier County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 38°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 66 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 73%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°45%
US model (GFS)49°39°34%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°100%
German model (ICON)51°40°85%
Canadian model (GEM)51°40°100%
The average50°38°73%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 22%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 22%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°24°29%
US model (GFS)40°31°17%
European model (ECMWF)45°35°4%
German model (ICON)41°34°8%
Canadian model (GEM)43°32°53%
The average43°31°22%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 30°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°23°13%
US model (GFS)38°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)40°32°10%
German model (ICON)38°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)38°31°33%
The average39°30°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°22°1%
US model (GFS)43°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°30°4%
German model (ICON)44°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°33°0%
The average43°30°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.