Minority Report

Lewistown, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fergus County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)71°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°46°0%
German model (ICON)69°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°47°0%
The average69°46°0%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°38°0%
US model (GFS)67°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°37°0%
German model (ICON)68°48°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°46°0%
The average68°43°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 63°   Low 39°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°34°0%
US model (GFS)64°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)63°43°0%
German model (ICON)63°42°5%
Canadian model (GEM)62°34°0%
The average63°39°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°36°0%
US model (GFS)57°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°41°0%
German model (ICON)56°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°32°0%
The average58°38°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.