Lexington, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fayette County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 55° Low 41° Rain 66%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 67 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 38° | 25% |
| US model (GFS) | 54° | 40° | 49% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 54° | 44° | 92% |
| German model (ICON) | 55° | 42° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 41° | 90% |
| The average | 55° | 41° | 66% |
High 44° Low 35° Rain 65%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 30° | 55% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 32° | 46% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 36° | 92% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 37° | 70% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 37° | 62% |
| The average | 44° | 35° | 65% |
High 45° Low 30° Rain 2%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 28° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 31° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 32° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 28° | 1% |
| The average | 45° | 30° | 2% |
High 48° Low 33° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 39° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 23° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 33° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.