Minority Report

Lexington, MS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Holmes County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 47°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°0%
US model (GFS)70°50°8%
European model (ECMWF)70°52°2%
German model (ICON)68°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°53°0%
The average69°47°2%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°0%
US model (GFS)54°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°40°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°38°0%
The average55°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°31°0%
US model (GFS)58°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°36°0%
German model (ICON)56°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°33°0%
The average56°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 37°   Rain 20%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°36°20%
US model (GFS)63°38°15%
European model (ECMWF)59°38°16%
German model (ICON)60°34°26%
Canadian model (GEM)58°36°22%
The average60°37°20%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.