Minority Report

Lexington, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Davidson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 43°   Rain 15%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 29 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°1%
US model (GFS)67°46°14%
European model (ECMWF)67°49°12%
German model (ICON)67°41°30%
Canadian model (GEM)68°45°19%
The average67°43°15%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°30°6%
US model (GFS)53°37°2%
European model (ECMWF)53°42°8%
German model (ICON)56°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)57°39°0%
The average55°37°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°28°0%
US model (GFS)51°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)51°38°0%
German model (ICON)51°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°30°0%
The average51°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°29°0%
US model (GFS)54°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°35°0%
German model (ICON)57°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°23°0%
The average55°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.