Minority Report

Lexington, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Dawson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—26°1%
US model (GFS)49°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°30°0%
The average49°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°27°1%
US model (GFS)44°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°33°0%
German model (ICON)49°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°26°0%
The average47°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 30°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°12%
US model (GFS)48°28°4%
European model (ECMWF)43°33°4%
German model (ICON)47°30°6%
Canadian model (GEM)45°28°18%
The average45°30°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°8%
US model (GFS)49°38°10%
European model (ECMWF)49°38°6%
German model (ICON)47°33°13%
Canadian model (GEM)48°34°20%
The average48°35°11%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.