Minority Report

Lexington, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lexington city.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 41°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 38 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 30%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°12%
US model (GFS)60°42°13%
German model (ICON)62°43°50%
Canadian model (GEM)62°42°43%
The average62°41°30%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 34°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 4 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°29°12%
US model (GFS)50°34°3%
German model (ICON)51°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)51°38°5%
The average52°34°6%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°26°0%
US model (GFS)48°27°2%
German model (ICON)47°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°28°0%
The average48°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°26°0%
US model (GFS)52°31°0%
German model (ICON)53°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°23°0%
The average53°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.