Minority Report

Libby, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lincoln County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)53°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°42°0%
German model (ICON)54°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°39°0%
The average54°38°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 4%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 16% against a group average of 4%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°16%
US model (GFS)60°39°2%
European model (ECMWF)56°41°0%
German model (ICON)54°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°39°0%
The average55°37°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 38°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 30%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°34°16%
US model (GFS)49°43°18%
European model (ECMWF)50°41°14%
German model (ICON)52°34°55%
Canadian model (GEM)45°35°48%
The average49°38°30%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 36°   Rain 50%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 50%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°36°49%
US model (GFS)51°40°28%
European model (ECMWF)50°37°55%
German model (ICON)48°34°68%
Canadian model (GEM)44°35°52%
The average49°36°50%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.