Minority Report

Liberal, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Seward County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)71°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°42°0%
German model (ICON)69°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°40°0%
The average70°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 37°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°36°8%
US model (GFS)60°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°39°0%
German model (ICON)57°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°33°0%
The average58°37°2%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 37°   Rain 94%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°36°96%
US model (GFS)52°34°96%
European model (ECMWF)46°42°100%
German model (ICON)51°37°88%
Canadian model (GEM)45°37°92%
The average49°37°94%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 38°   Rain 80%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 78 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 22% against a group average of 80%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°34°22%
US model (GFS)46°40°96%
European model (ECMWF)43°40°100%
German model (ICON)43°40°85%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°95%
The average44°38°80%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.