Liberty, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Union County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 51° Low 39° Rain 61%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 38° | 55% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 39° | 29% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 40° | 59% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 40° | 83% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 39° | 81% |
| The average | 51° | 39° | 61% |
High 42° Low 33° Rain 37%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 28° | 28% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 32° | 14% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 37° | 51% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 35° | 35% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 35° | 59% |
| The average | 42° | 33° | 37% |
High 44° Low 29° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 32° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 29° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 44° | 29° | 1% |
High 47° Low 34° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 37° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 38° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 37° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 25° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 34° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.