Minority Report

Lincoln, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lincoln County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°0%
US model (GFS)54°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°37°0%
German model (ICON)54°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°35°0%
The average55°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)49°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°24°0%
The average48°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°16%
US model (GFS)48°27°6%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°8%
German model (ICON)52°30°4%
Canadian model (GEM)50°27°11%
The average50°30°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 36°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 30%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°28%
US model (GFS)42°38°19%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°24%
German model (ICON)53°40°17%
Canadian model (GEM)48°34°62%
The average49°36°30%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.