Minority Report

Lincoln, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lancaster County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°0%
US model (GFS)47°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°32°0%
German model (ICON)46°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°27°0%
The average46°29°0%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°23°0%
US model (GFS)40°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°28°0%
German model (ICON)44°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°20°0%
The average44°24°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°1%
US model (GFS)47°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°0%
German model (ICON)47°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°20°0%
The average46°26°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°31°2%
US model (GFS)52°35°2%
European model (ECMWF)50°28°0%
German model (ICON)54°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°16°0%
The average50°29°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.