Minority Report

Lincolnton, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lincoln County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 43°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 34 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 17%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°1%
US model (GFS)67°45°26%
European model (ECMWF)66°50°12%
German model (ICON)66°40°35%
Canadian model (GEM)66°41°10%
The average66°43°17%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 20% against a group average of 9%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°31°6%
US model (GFS)53°38°20%
European model (ECMWF)53°41°12%
German model (ICON)55°35°5%
Canadian model (GEM)55°36°0%
The average54°36°9%

Saturday, November 14

High 52°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°28°0%
US model (GFS)51°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)51°36°0%
German model (ICON)50°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°27°0%
The average52°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°30°0%
US model (GFS)54°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°32°0%
German model (ICON)56°23°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°23°0%
The average54°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.