Minority Report

Lisbon, ND — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ransom County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 38°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—17°0%
US model (GFS)39°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)38°26°0%
German model (ICON)38°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°25°0%
The average38°24°0%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 22°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service37°18°0%
US model (GFS)36°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)39°24°0%
German model (ICON)38°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)37°19°0%
The average37°22°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°26°0%
US model (GFS)47°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)43°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°20°0%
The average44°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°35°0%
US model (GFS)54°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°0%
German model (ICON)57°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°28°0%
The average53°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.