Minority Report

Lisbon, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Columbiana County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 72 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 75%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°28%
US model (GFS)48°40°69%
European model (ECMWF)48°42°100%
German model (ICON)47°39°95%
Canadian model (GEM)52°42°81%
The average49°40°75%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 21%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 36% against a group average of 21%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°36%
US model (GFS)41°34°15%
European model (ECMWF)43°34°10%
German model (ICON)42°33°23%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°22%
The average43°34°21%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 34°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 57%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°33°65%
US model (GFS)42°34°55%
European model (ECMWF)42°34°53%
German model (ICON)42°34°33%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°81%
The average42°34°57%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 36°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 40%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°33°27%
US model (GFS)42°37°30%
European model (ECMWF)44°40°47%
German model (ICON)45°38°33%
Canadian model (GEM)43°33°63%
The average44°36°40%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.