Minority Report

Little Rock, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pulaski County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)70°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°47°0%
German model (ICON)67°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°48°0%
The average68°45°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°32°0%
US model (GFS)54°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°40°0%
German model (ICON)54°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°0%
The average54°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°36°1%
US model (GFS)54°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°27°0%
The average53°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 25%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°39°19%
US model (GFS)58°42°18%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°29%
German model (ICON)57°33°31%
Canadian model (GEM)55°33°26%
The average56°37°25%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.