Little Valley, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cattaraugus County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 43° Low 33° Rain 81%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 80 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 26° | 20% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 33° | 85% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 35° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 34° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 35° | 100% |
| The average | 43° | 33° | 81% |
High 35° Low 30° Rain 36%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 37° | 25° | 46% |
| US model (GFS) | 34° | 31° | 16% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 36° | 32° | 52% |
| German model (ICON) | 34° | 32° | 30% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 35° | 32° | 38% |
| The average | 35° | 30° | 36% |
High 37° Low 31° Rain 81%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 38° | 27° | 68% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 32° | 59% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 32° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 31° | 84% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 32° | 95% |
| The average | 37° | 31° | 81% |
High 38° Low 32° Rain 71%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 27° | 56% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 32° | 59% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 34° | 95% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 34° | 60% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 37° | 33° | 83% |
| The average | 38° | 32° | 71% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.