Minority Report

Littleton, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Arapahoe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°0%
US model (GFS)70°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°33°0%
German model (ICON)67°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°32°0%
The average68°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 65°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°36°1%
US model (GFS)67°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°37°0%
German model (ICON)65°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°30°0%
The average65°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 34°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 21 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 31%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°37°23%
US model (GFS)58°33°30%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°36%
German model (ICON)54°34°23%
Canadian model (GEM)49°30°44%
The average53°34°31%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 35°   Rain 16%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 1% against a group average of 16%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°34°1%
US model (GFS)59°44°23%
European model (ECMWF)58°33°14%
German model (ICON)60°30°19%
Canadian model (GEM)56°33°21%
The average58°35°16%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.