Minority Report

Livingston, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Overton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 40°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 87 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 62%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°13%
US model (GFS)57°44°22%
European model (ECMWF)56°41°100%
German model (ICON)56°42°73%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°100%
The average56°40°62%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 80 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 92% against a group average of 37%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°32°32%
US model (GFS)44°34°12%
European model (ECMWF)43°36°92%
German model (ICON)44°34°23%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°24%
The average43°34°37%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 30°   Rain 14%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 41 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 14%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°0%
US model (GFS)47°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)45°33°41%
German model (ICON)48°32°10%
Canadian model (GEM)46°27°19%
The average47°30°14%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°0%
US model (GFS)52°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)51°33°0%
German model (ICON)53°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°23°0%
The average51°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.