Minority Report

Llano, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Llano County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)78°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°53°0%
German model (ICON)75°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)76°49°0%
The average76°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 75°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service75°48°0%
US model (GFS)75°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)75°49°0%
German model (ICON)75°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°45°0%
The average75°47°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 68°   Low 50°   Rain 54%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 36% against a group average of 54%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°52°60%
US model (GFS)66°51°45%
European model (ECMWF)70°51°67%
German model (ICON)61°53°63%
Canadian model (GEM)75°46°36%
The average68°50°54%

Sunday, November 15

High 69°   Low 51°   Rain 71%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 50% against a group average of 71%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°47°75%
US model (GFS)73°56°50%
European model (ECMWF)67°52°82%
German model (ICON)69°51°70%
Canadian model (GEM)72°52°76%
The average69°51°71%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.