Minority Report

Loíza Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Loíza Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 90°   Low 76°   Rain 36%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 91 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 36%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—79°40%
US model (GFS)89°76°13%
European model (ECMWF)90°77°91%
German model (ICON)91°79°35%
Canadian model (GEM)91°71°0%
The average90°76°36%

Friday, November 13

High 90°   Low 78°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 15%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service90°78°20%
US model (GFS)88°77°3%
European model (ECMWF)88°78°45%
German model (ICON)90°82°5%
Canadian model (GEM)91°76°0%
The average90°78°15%

Saturday, November 14

High 90°   Low 79°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 25%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service90°78°30%
US model (GFS)89°78°0%
European model (ECMWF)88°79°81%
German model (ICON)92°82°13%
Canadian model (GEM)92°77°0%
The average90°79°25%

Sunday, November 15

High 90°   Low 77°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service89°78°2%
US model (GFS)88°76°3%
European model (ECMWF)88°76°1%
German model (ICON)91°80°0%
Canadian model (GEM)92°72°0%
The average90°77°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.