Minority Report

Loa, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wayne County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°1%
US model (GFS)56°24°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°34°0%
German model (ICON)56°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°20°0%
The average56°27°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 30°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 87% against a group average of 56%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°87%
US model (GFS)53°28°41%
European model (ECMWF)50°34°55%
German model (ICON)52°31°40%
Canadian model (GEM)52°25°57%
The average51°30°56%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 27°   Rain 81%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 81%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°21°81%
US model (GFS)40°29°89%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°94%
German model (ICON)43°30°74%
Canadian model (GEM)42°21°65%
The average42°27°81%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°24°0%
US model (GFS)47°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°26°0%
German model (ICON)50°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°16°0%
The average48°24°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.