Minority Report

Logan County, AR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Logan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)67°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°46°0%
German model (ICON)66°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)66°45°0%
The average66°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°31°0%
US model (GFS)54°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°37°0%
German model (ICON)54°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°35°0%
The average55°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 34°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°35°5%
US model (GFS)55°32°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°36°0%
German model (ICON)54°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°36°0%
The average53°34°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 39°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 41%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°37°30%
US model (GFS)57°37°36%
European model (ECMWF)52°40°42%
German model (ICON)49°41°42%
Canadian model (GEM)49°41°57%
The average51°39°41%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.