Minority Report

Logan County, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Logan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)64°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°39°0%
German model (ICON)65°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)65°34°0%
The average64°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°32°0%
US model (GFS)54°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°37°0%
German model (ICON)51°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°30°0%
The average55°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 60%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°54%
US model (GFS)52°31°63%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°67%
German model (ICON)50°35°46%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°69%
The average49°34°60%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 38°   Rain 56%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 15% against a group average of 56%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°15%
US model (GFS)42°41°63%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°73%
German model (ICON)44°40°58%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°71%
The average46°38°56%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.